I'm not really as interested in how I should play a specific hand in this situation, but I'm more interested in what you'd expect villain to have here and whether this is a good play with various hands.
I actually had 7h6h in this spot but I'm more interested in villain's range.
Game is 1/2 $300 max NL
Villain ($300) Younger guy. Just sat down maybe 1 or 2 orbits ago. He's a reg, ipod big headphones talking to staff etc. I've seen him a lot but I don't think I've actually ever played with him. From what I've seen and heard from others he should be a decent thinking player and a winning player at 1/2.
LP ($125) Younger fishy guy. Plays fairly loose but not overly passive. Villain only has 2 orbits on him but I've played with him for a little while and he doesn't seem great.
Hero ($300) Younger guy - probably look like a reg. Maybe villain has seen me there before since I'm in the room all the time but again haven't played with him as far as I can tell. I had a few crazy hands before this hand so maybe he thinks I'm on tilt, although I was in a pretty good mood and joking around with people. No reason for villain to assume I play weirdly trappy or anything.
Folds to villain
Villain (MP) raises to $11
LP calls on the button
Hero (BB) calls
Flop: Jh Th 4s
Hero checks, Villain checks, LP bets $20, Hero calls $20, villain check/raises to $80
Live reads - he was like looking around intensely with kinda shifty eyes when he checked, but I kind of thought that's just his poker face. Looking back I'm assuming when he checked he was planning on raising from the start.
I actually had 7h6h, but lets assume I could have - ATcc maybe, QJss, 67hh, 45hh, A9hh maybe KQo.
It's not that involved of a hand, but I was really having trouble trying to figure out what kind of hand he reps here.
There's only one guy left to act. It's not like he raised UTG and got 4 callers where maybe if he flopped a hand like JJ someone might bet. The board is so wet you'd expect he'd bet JJ or TT or JT to get called by draws and to avoid losing action if a scary card comes out.
If he has a hand like QQ+ or AJ is he really checking this back? Unless he's scared of me somehow but then when I just call he thinks it's safe to raise. It just seems like a CR is almost an overplay here with AA because it's so strong it folds out weaker hands and of course nothing stronger ever folds.
I thought the most likely hands he could have here would be huge draws like an AKhh, AQhh, KQhh. He's actually ahead of a hand like QJ. If it gets checked through he gets a free card, and if we both missed he can probably take it down with a turn bet anyway. It also prevents him getting check/raised by me if I happened to flop something big because AhKh is still only 33% against a set in this spot. He gets probably maximum fold equity against both of us even though the LP guy is short.
Just curious what you expect someone who should be a good thinking player to have in this spot. If I somehow had AhXh (which I probably wouldn't call OOP with), could I ever shove back here? I probably wouldn't call this OOP but if I somehow showed up with that and he had 98hh or KQhh I'd have him 65/35.
Would any of you guys play a royal draw in this way? Just curious.