I'm UTG+1 with AKo. 400 effective, UTG (rec player, like me) opens to 12, I 3! to 36, UTG calls. (pot 75)
Flop A54r, UTG checks, I bet 40, UTG raises to 90. I call. Not really sure what he has here, seems like either air or a set. Maybe the occasional 67s. Don't think he would do this with a weaker ace. (pot 255)
Turn 3x, UTG checks, I check behind. At this point we have one pot-sized bet left and I think if I bet he would fold his air and call with sets, so I check behind to induce a bluff. If he does have a weaker ace, hopefully this check will be deceptive enough to get him to call a river jam.
River Qx, UTG jams for 250. I think for a bit and call. We're now losing to AQ, QQ, sets, chopping with AK, beating bluffs and weaker aces. Thought more about this after the session, I think this is a spot to make an exploitable fold - not sure if a recreational player is shoving the river here as a stone cold bluff.
What do you think?
(UTG had QQ)