$10 Button Straddle
H ~$455 effective BB 5♦
BTN has about $2k, is 48 hours into his session apparently. I have seen him call very light and have caught him bluffing with bottom pair once already with a big overbet where I had two pair.
UTG1 about $1k, LAG, also deep into a 24hr+ session. Competent, but 3! a lot and showing up with a big mix of hands.
H open $25, UTG1 55, BTN Call, H Call
Flop ($166) 4♦
I lead $75, call, call
Turn ($391) J♣
I lead $125, call, BTN jam, ?
As to how I played the hand to the turn, I think there is certainly a good argument for folding pre-flop, or 4! bluffing once I do choose to open. 56 is a hand I've used a couple of times for this, but against these particular V's I don't expect a fold from much of anything pre unless I jam so I elect to flat.
On flop, better to check-raise? I'm ahead of everything from an equity standpoint unless one V is holding higher diamonds. My thought was to lead expecting a raise from over-pairs and planning to 3! jam.
I got myself in a bit of a pickle, obviously, but in doing the math in game I think I still should call based solely on pot odds.
Assuming V has Jx or over-pair, I have 16 outs here (8 flush since the 7d is removed, and 8 straight), which is about 30% to win going to the river.
Pot is now $765, another $250 for me to call.
I did call off. UTG1 folds.
River bricked and I'm felted. Wrong move?