$2/5 $500 Cap In Las Vegas
Hero opens A♥ Q♦ to $20 UTG+1 ~$525 deep
Hijack calls ~$250
BB calls ~$1.5k (Main opponent)
10♥ 7♦ 2♥
BB donks $40 into $60
So calling here is a bit lite, but we have two overs and some backdoors with ambitious plans to possibly bluff the opponent off a later street.
Most of the time when the BB donks he probably has a 10 or a draw, and maybe a hand like JJ.
I feel like our overs are live, I dont think he donks A10, and a lot of cards can come where we can put a lot of pressure on. If he is betting a draw we actually have the best hand, but I dont think counting on that is a great idea. Its possible we still could have AA, KK, etc with or without a Heart, and just be calling to let the BB hang himself, granted we will sometimes raise those hands when we get donked into, but sometimes I think just calling is fine, if we do have the backdoor draw. I can easily have AK-AJ, and KQ of Hearts here and just call to realize my equity. On the other hand some players would be raising the nut draw on the flop. I personally probably wouldn't but I know some players would.
BB leads $80 into $160
So we pick up the backdoor nut flush draw. Once the flush comes in on the turn and the BB leads with us holding the nut blocker, I dont know if this would be a good time to raise as a semi bluff or not. If we did have the made nut flush, I'm not sure most players are raising. They might just call. I think most good players are raising for value, but I think a lot of the player pool is just calling and slow playing the hand.
I decided to call do to the fact that calling allows me to realize my equity without possibly facing a shove, and it sets up a somewhat believeable line that I've made my hand.
BB bets $160 into $320...
So what do we do?
I had figured since I'm holding the Ace of Hearts that he was going to check the River. Then we can bet a healthy amount and get a fold holding the nut blocker. I did not expect him to bet again on the river. It puts us in a though spot. Now with him betting $160, we only have $225 more we can raise. I wouldnt have even called the flop if I didnt think my opponent wasn't capable of folding at some point. So I think he can make some folds. On the one hand $225 more is a decent sized bet for this game, however in relation to the size of the pot its not a ton. Something else that was brought up by a friend is that if we do shove, we are repping a very small range here, basiclly the nut flush or nothing, and since I opened UTG+1 my nut flush combos are a very small range.
So should we abort mission or go with the plan of repping the nuts?